A clean 2026 decision framework (works for buyers + investors)
Use these 7 steps to decide without getting emotionally anchored to tenure.
1) Decide your holding period (and be honest)
3–5 years: you’re mostly playing market cycle + entry price + project competitiveness. Tenure is rarely the main driver.
7–12 years: you need a credible resale buyer pool when you exit. Leasehold is often fine—if remaining lease is healthy.
15+ years / legacy intent: freehold/999 can make sense—but only if you’re not sacrificing location and liveability.
2) Run the “premium payback” in dollars, not vibes
Ask: “If I pay +$X for freehold today, what must happen for me to be happy later?”
If you can’t articulate the payback, you’re probably just buying comfort.
3) Compare like-for-like, not brochure-to-brochure
For any shortlist:
same neighbourhood (or same MRT catchment),
similar age (new vs new, resale vs resale),
similar unit size and facing,
similar facilities and maintenance.
Otherwise, you’ll mistakenly attribute “location and project quality” to “tenure.”
4) For resale leasehold, check the CPF/age-95 factor early
If your eventual buyer likely relies on CPF, shorter remaining lease can reduce CPF usability (pro-rated). (Central Provident Fund)
This doesn’t kill value—it changes the buyer pool (more cash-heavy buyers, fewer first-timers).
5) For new launches, don’t ignore the data pattern
In the 2016–2025 comparison, new launch leasehold units outperformed new launch freehold in ROI/annualised returns across sizes.
Treat that as a warning against overpaying for “freehold new launch” unless the fundamentals are exceptional.
6) En-bloc is a bonus, not a plan
Both tenure types can go en-bloc; outcomes depend on market conditions, zoning, and what developers can rebuild.
If you need en-bloc for your return to work, it’s not an investment thesis—it’s a hope.
7) Write your exit story in one paragraph
Before you buy, you should be able to say:
“I’m buying this unit because these buyers will want it in X years, for these reasons, and my worst-case exit is Y.”
If you can’t write it, you’re not ready to choose between FH vs LH—you’re still choosing between ideas.
Three buyer profiles (illustrative) and what usually fits
Profile A: HDB upgrader family, 7–10 year horizon
Often does well with:
a strong leasehold mass-market project near transport/schools,
prioritising layout, usability, and resale demand.
Why: your resale buyer pool in 7–10 years is likely still broad, and the opportunity cost of paying a big freehold premium can be high.
Profile B: New launch buyer trying to balance risk + upside
Often does well with:
leasehold new launches that are competitively priced vs nearby resale,
avoiding “freehold premium” unless it comes with genuinely superior scarcity or location.
Why: the dataset shows new launch leasehold performed strongly over that period, suggesting entry price and mass-market liquidity can matter more than tenure.
Profile C: Long-stay / legacy-minded buyer (15–25 years)
Often does well with:
freehold/999-year if the premium is reasonable and the home actually fits life plans,
or a well-located leasehold where the “home utility” is so strong you’d live there regardless.
Why: the value of “no countdown” is most meaningful when you actually intend to hold very long—otherwise you’re paying for a feature you won’t use.
Top 10 Average Rental Yield For All Bands 5 Years (Source: URA)